Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.160969 0.183595 0.208815 0.239111 0.274644 0.315156 0.365062
2025-11-30 0.126715 0.157043 0.194302 0.243896 0.308852 0.391969 0.507895
2025-12-07 0.103473 0.135920 0.178633 0.239890 0.327011 0.448815 0.636249
2025-12-14 0.089476 0.123073 0.169805 0.241031 0.349506 0.513016 0.787142
2025-12-21 0.078854 0.112666 0.161906 0.240915 0.368539 0.574023 0.946029
2025-12-28 0.072014 0.106459 0.158743 0.246679 0.396707 0.653785 1.155003
2026-01-04 0.065944 0.100438 0.154745 0.250001 0.420761 0.730604 1.378177
2026-01-11 0.060918 0.095325 0.151327 0.253432 0.445116 0.812290 1.632897
2026-01-18 0.057190 0.091805 0.149955 0.259987 0.476024 0.912539 1.956006
2026-01-25 0.053082 0.087135 0.145952 0.260979 0.496100 0.994820 2.263639
2026-02-01 0.049320 0.082632 0.141654 0.260666 0.513277 1.074342 2.590149
2026-02-08 0.045721 0.078030 0.136618 0.258107 0.525116 1.144251 2.915180
2026-02-15 0.042239 0.073364 0.131069 0.253994 0.533453 1.209431 3.256164
2026-02-22 0.040329 0.071433 0.130546 0.260354 0.567053 1.345959 3.867019
2026-03-01 0.037479 0.067435 0.125517 0.256248 0.575033 1.417995 4.304170
2026-03-08 0.035464 0.064864 0.123067 0.257519 0.596546 1.532731 4.940675
2026-03-15 0.033509 0.062227 0.120194 0.257401 0.614508 1.642318 5.613368
2026-03-22 0.032288 0.060948 0.120028 0.263629 0.650617 1.816904 6.636839
2026-03-29 0.030938 0.059281 0.118847 0.267218 0.680253 1.980280 7.711717
2026-04-05 0.029702 0.057739 0.117773 0.270926 0.711085 2.157552 8.965306
2026-04-12 0.028797 0.056822 0.118001 0.278011 0.753568 2.389788 10.655944
2026-04-19 0.027540 0.055033 0.116050 0.279084 0.777887 2.564384 12.177213
2026-04-26 0.026285 0.053148 0.113692 0.278746 0.797783 2.729489 13.780817